Burying Uncertainty: Risk and the Case Against Geological Disposal of Nuclear Waste

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University of California Press, 1993 M12 3 - 346 pages
Shrader-Frechette looks at current U.S. government policy regarding the nation's high-level radioactive waste both scientifically and ethically.

What should be done with our nation's high-level radioactive waste, which will remain hazardous for thousands of years? This is one of the most pressing problems faced by the nuclear power industry, and current U.S. government policy is to bury "radwastes" in specially designed deep repositories.

K. S. Shrader-Frechette argues that this policy is profoundly misguided on both scientific and ethical grounds. Scientifically—because we cannot trust the precision of 10,000-year predictions that promise containment of the waste. Ethically—because geological disposal ignores the rights of present and future generations to equal treatment, due process, and free informed consent.

Shrader-Frechette focuses her argument on the world's first proposed high-level radioactive waste facility at Yucca Mountain, Nevada. Analyzing a mass of technical literature, she demonstrates the weaknesses in the professional risk-assessors' arguments that claim the site is sufficiently safe for such a plan. We should postpone the question of geological disposal for at least a century and use monitored, retrievable, above-ground storage of the waste until then. Her message regarding radwaste is clear: what you can't see can hurt you.
 

Contents

Legal and Regulatory
21
3
27
4
39
Value Judgments about Model Reliability
50
Value Judgments about Reliability of Sampling
56
Value Judgments that Interpolations
66
Problems with Yucca Mountain versus Problems
72
Value Judgments that Risk Reductions
80
Conclusion
157
Extensive Nonquantifiable Uncertainty
169
Faulty
175
Conclusion
181
Consent and Permanent Disposal
195
Practical and Legal Considerations against Disposal
207
An Alternative to Permanent Geological Disposal
213
Independent Technical and Review Committees
219

Value Judgments that Average Risks
86
Value Judgments about Singlesite Studies
94
Conclusion
101
Problematic Inferences in Assessing Repository Risks
103
TwoValued Epistemic Logic and the Appeal
114
Begging the Question
121
The Expertise Inference
127
The Linearity Inference
134
Specious Accuracy
141
The Appeal to Authority
149
Public Defender for the Future
227
Objections to NMRS Facilities
236
Does NMRS Unrealistically Seek Zero Risk?
243
Conclusion
249
6
278
220
304
INDEX OF NAMES
329
INDEX OF SUBJECTS
337
Judgments
339
Copyright

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About the author (1993)

K. S. Shrader-Frechette is Distinguished Research Professor of Philosophy at the University of South Florida and is the author of twelve books including Risk and Rationality (California, 1990).

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